Apply pieces of evidence to update your belief (probability) in the hypothesis. Watch how the probability shifts.
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Level 1 Mission:Update beliefs with evidence
Use Bayesian Inference to update the probability of a hypothesis as new evidence is revealed.
🧠Logical Reasoning🧠Critical Thinking
Probability of Hypothesis
50.0%
Initial Belief (Prior):20.0%
Evidence Applied:0 / 1
Evidence Locker
The grass is wet.
True Positive Rate: 0.9
False Positive Rate: 0.1
Hint: Grass being wet is strong evidence for rain, but sprinklers exist.